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Written by Al Hassan Yusuf for SouthFront
The other day in Odessa there was a conflict between representatives of the “territorial recruitment and social support center” (military enlistment office) and doctors from the ambulance. The essence of the conflict lies in a ridiculous attempt to mobilize one of the emergency doctors. According to the participant in the conflict, the ambulance management received lists from the “Territorial Center” for updating data, and it sent its employees there, promising that going to the TRC would not threaten anything. Below is an excerpt of his words.
“I got there at 10 a.m. and left at five p.m. with a draft notice,” the man said. According to him, he signed the summons because TRС employees threatened not to let him out of the building. After that, the ambulance management promised once again that they would not take anyone away, but a day later, a colleague was taken to a military training center as a “citizen avoiding military service” and sent to a military school. After the incident, the ambulance management stated that now “everyone is on their own.” It explained that they send the lists to TRС, but they are not approved there.
The incident can be attributed to a domestic conflict, if not for the sad situation with the mobilization policy arranged by Zelensky. If in the early years of the outbreak of war, thousands of Ukrainians volunteered for the front, because they knew about the decent recruitment system built under the former head of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, General Zaluzhny. But immediately after Zaluzhny’s dismissal, the expected chaos began. Ordinary Ukrainians, potentially facing mobilization, were divided into three parts, the first group are supporters of Zaluzhny, who want to serve, but as part of the competent military authorities, the second are refuseniks who dream of leaving Ukraine, and the third are the majority of ordinary people who will act according to the situation, if an agenda comes, they will go to serve, if not there are notifications about mobilization, then they will not go to the front voluntarily.
What can be learned from this situation? Military analysts from Moscow (not to be confused with Z, V- military commanders) note that the weak mobilization of Ukraine gives reason to the governments of a number of Western countries to lobby for sending their military to Ukraine. Another point is that the lack of rotation of Ukrainian military personnel and the minimum number of mobilized forces the Kiev General Staff to rely on an alternative method of warfare based on technology. Experts from the Russian Federation and the United States are similar in this opinion, for example, the story of ordering about a million different drones for the Ukrainian army will now have a logical justification.
Despite the crisis of mobilization of the warring parties, it is obvious that, after all, the war does not acquire the character of a protracted conflict for decades, the situation takes the form of a “swing”, “back and forth”. The Russians cannot make significant progress, the Ukrainians are not ready for a counteroffensive. Both sides still have enough human resources, but the third year of the war shows that advanced military technologies solve a lot on the battlefields. The denouement is already close, we are watching.
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